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Red131
179101.6
610738.5
637332.7
Blue253
395982.6
496580.9
278389.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1852330100300400131253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#14
101.63.8
95.992.1
Auto11.6
Teleop49.1
End40.9
red by 12.0
2783
#12
89.62.6
84.787.3
Auto10.3
Teleop43.3
End35.9
Second
6107
#37
38.55.7
50.945.2
Auto6.5
Teleop25.5
End6.5
blue by 44.1
3959
#11
82.62.8
68.371.2
Auto8.2
Teleop27.8
End46.6
Third
6373
#49DQ
32.75.7
35.830.1
Auto5.6
Teleop21.5
End5.5
blue by 48.2
80.93.4
61.565.0
Auto8.5
Teleop29.5
End42.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed