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Red455
67120.9
1058123.6
213795.3
Blue413
558105.4
225123.1
865107.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432438360380400420460480500520455413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.60.3
123.0123.2
Auto13.6
Teleop63.3
End46.6
red by 0.4
225
#2
123.10.8
126.7125.9
Auto23.7
Teleop58.6
End40.8
Second
67
#3
120.90.3
120.3120.6
Auto15.0
Teleop55.3
End50.7
red by 13.2
865
#56
107.70.8
111.3110.5
Auto12.1
Teleop46.2
End49.5
Third
2137
#54
95.30.3
94.795.0
Auto12.8
Teleop42.3
End40.1
blue by 10.1
558
#11
105.40.8
108.9108.1
Auto12.9
Teleop60.4
End32.1