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Red458
67120.9
1058123.6
213795.3
Blue219
558105.4
225123.1
865107.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433435250350400450458219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.60.3
123.2123.6
Auto13.6
Teleop63.3
End46.6
red by 0.4
225
#2
123.12.8
125.9123.1
Auto23.7
Teleop58.6
End40.8
Second
67
#3
120.90.3
120.6120.9
Auto15.0
Teleop55.3
End50.7
red by 13.2
865
#56
107.72.8
110.5107.7
Auto12.1
Teleop46.2
End49.5
Third
2137
#54
95.30.3
95.095.3
Auto12.8
Teleop42.3
End40.1
blue by 10.1
558
#11
105.42.8
108.1105.4
Auto12.9
Teleop60.4
End32.1