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Red254
865107.7
3539111.1
1325101.4
Blue256
222110.3
3357110.2
64872.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330331260280300320340360380400420254256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#22
111.14.3
120.3116.0
Auto11.0
Teleop53.2
End46.9
red by 0.8
222
#13
110.33.5
120.7117.1
Auto11.2
Teleop56.0
End43.0
Second
865
#56
107.74.3
106.0101.7
Auto12.1
Teleop46.2
End49.5
blue by 2.4
3357
#51
110.23.5
107.3103.7
Auto23.3
Teleop48.4
End38.5
Third
1325
#23
101.44.3
92.688.3
Auto13.4
Teleop49.8
End38.3
red by 29.1
648
#66
72.33.5
81.077.5
Auto9.0
Teleop21.9
End41.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
56%Rotor oddsEarned14%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed