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Red345
3770111.7
2574111.6
546472.7
Blue295
1075103.2
4970103.2
1640101.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309307270280290300320330340345295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#27
111.73.5
122.0125.5
Auto12.2
Teleop53.4
End46.1
red by 8.4
4970
#57
103.20.2
105.8106.0
Auto12.7
Teleop51.3
End39.3
Second
2574
#41
111.63.5
94.998.3
Auto10.3
Teleop52.6
End48.7
red by 8.5
1075
#24
103.20.2
89.589.7
Auto13.7
Teleop46.5
End43.0
Third
5464
#64
72.73.5
76.279.6
Auto8.3
Teleop35.5
End28.9
blue by 29.0
1640
#33
101.70.2
96.997.1
Auto6.5
Teleop45.7
End49.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsEarned26%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed