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Red295
4970103.2
313878.8
674678.3
Blue387
1721102.0
225123.1
1058123.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2443690100200300400500600295387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4970
#57
103.23.1
106.0109.1
Auto12.7
Teleop51.3
End39.3
blue by 20.3
123.63.5
109.5113.1
Auto13.6
Teleop63.3
End46.6
Second
3138
#60
78.83.1
83.286.3
Auto9.5
Teleop46.7
End22.6
blue by 44.3
225
#2
123.13.5
118.7122.2
Auto23.7
Teleop58.6
End40.8
Third
6746
#58
78.33.1
59.062.1
Auto7.3
Teleop37.1
End34.0
blue by 23.7
1721
#25
102.03.5
106.1109.6
Auto12.8
Teleop44.9
End44.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
8%Rotor oddsEarned16%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed40%Pressure oddsEarned