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Red327
5172122.6
5709100.2
233897.2
Blue373
2611120.4
3539111.1
1987111.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331371200300400500600327373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#18
122.60.5
119.9120.4
Auto14.3
Teleop60.5
End47.8
red by 2.2
120.40.0
119.0119.0
Auto10.0
Teleop59.6
End50.7
Second
5709
#35
100.20.5
108.1108.6
Auto12.4
Teleop43.6
End44.2
blue by 11.3
1987
#29
111.50.0
109.4109.4
Auto11.8
Teleop53.3
End46.3
Third
2338
#59
97.20.5
91.692.1
Auto10.2
Teleop42.0
End45.0
blue by 13.9
3539
#22
111.10.0
118.9119.0
Auto11.0
Teleop53.2
End46.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed91%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsEarned1%Pressure oddsMissed