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Red275
3770111.7
4926105.5
313878.8
Blue347
1325101.4
6344117.2
346798.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311318200250300350400275347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#27
111.71.5
110.5109.1
Auto12.2
Teleop53.4
End46.1
blue by 5.6
6344
#14
117.23.0
112.8115.8
Auto13.7
Teleop56.0
End47.5
Second
4926
#26
105.51.5
98.096.5
Auto8.0
Teleop50.0
End47.5
red by 4.1
1325
#23
101.43.0
97.1100.1
Auto13.4
Teleop49.8
End38.3
Third
3138
#60
78.81.5
88.286.8
Auto9.5
Teleop46.7
End22.6
blue by 19.6
98.43.0
91.694.6
Auto10.2
Teleop47.4
End40.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
27%Rotor oddsEarned76%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed