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Red351
379984.5
1987111.5
1111105.3
Blue350
4779100.8
2834107.8
1640101.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313317280300340360351350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#29
111.53.2
111.8115.0
Auto11.8
Teleop53.3
End46.3
red by 3.6
2834
#15
107.83.3
109.4112.7
Auto12.2
Teleop51.7
End43.9
Second
1111
#20
105.33.2
104.7107.8
Auto11.7
Teleop53.8
End39.8
red by 3.6
1640
#33
101.73.3
95.398.6
Auto6.5
Teleop45.7
End49.5
Third
3799
#40
84.53.2
81.885.0
Auto8.2
Teleop45.6
End30.7
blue by 16.3
4779
#19
100.83.3
95.999.1
Auto11.5
Teleop52.4
End36.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
12%Rotor oddsEarned68%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed