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Red295
9394.3
2977101.3
222110.3
Blue329
3770111.7
5709100.2
225123.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326362100200400500600295329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#13
110.31.3
113.1111.8
Auto11.2
Teleop56.0
End43.0
blue by 12.9
225
#2
123.10.7
123.0122.3
Auto23.7
Teleop58.6
End40.8
Second
2977
#34
101.31.3
105.2104.0
Auto12.8
Teleop39.1
End49.4
blue by 10.4
3770
#27
111.70.7
109.5108.9
Auto12.2
Teleop53.4
End46.1
Third
93
#47
94.31.3
95.994.6
Auto10.4
Teleop43.4
End40.6
blue by 5.9
5709
#35
100.20.7
106.4105.8
Auto12.4
Teleop43.6
End44.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
21%Rotor oddsEarned33%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed43%Pressure oddsEarned