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Red388
1810105.7
1730115.3
3357110.2
Blue365
379984.5
5172122.6
6344117.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336341250300350400388365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.34.5
115.8120.3
Auto16.3
Teleop57.3
End41.7
blue by 7.3
5172
#18
122.61.1
121.0122.2
Auto14.3
Teleop60.5
End47.8
Second
3357
#51
110.24.5
101.1105.6
Auto23.3
Teleop48.4
End38.5
blue by 7.1
6344
#14
117.21.1
116.7117.8
Auto13.7
Teleop56.0
End47.5
Third
1810
#28
105.74.5
103.3107.8
Auto8.7
Teleop48.7
End48.3
red by 21.2
3799
#40
84.51.1
85.586.6
Auto8.2
Teleop45.6
End30.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
26%Rotor oddsEarned16%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsEarned1%Pressure oddsEarned