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Semifinal 1-22017 Archimedes Division
Red383
1640101.7
1058123.6
213795.3
Blue460
222110.3
2363110.3
2611120.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383466100200300500600700383460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#1
123.61.0
123.6→122.7
Auto13.6
Teleop63.3
End46.6
red by 3.2
2611
#5
120.40.2
119.9→120.1
Auto10.0
Teleop59.6
End50.7
Second
1640
#33
101.71.0
102.7→101.7
Auto6.5
Teleop45.7
End49.5
blue by 8.6
2363
#37
110.30.2
109.8→110.0
Auto16.9
Teleop49.2
End44.1
Third
2137
#54
95.31.0
95.4→94.4
Auto12.8
Teleop42.3
End40.1
blue by 15.0
222
#13
110.30.2
109.7→110.0
Auto11.2
Teleop56.0
End43.0