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Red455
67120.9
1058123.6
213795.3
Blue452
222110.3
2363110.3
2611120.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42746002006008001,000455452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.60.4
122.7123.1
Auto13.6
Teleop63.3
End46.6
red by 3.2
120.40.3
120.1120.4
Auto10.0
Teleop59.6
End50.7
Second
67
#3
120.90.4
120.0120.4
Auto15.0
Teleop55.3
End50.7
red by 10.7
2363
#37
110.30.3
110.0110.3
Auto16.9
Teleop49.2
End44.1
Third
2137
#54
95.30.4
94.494.8
Auto12.8
Teleop42.3
End40.1
blue by 15.0
222
#13
110.30.3
110.0110.3
Auto11.2
Teleop56.0
End43.0