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Red314
399172.0
3310108.2
16105.9
Blue265
463579.0
452275.5
233371.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308223100200400500314265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.21.0
106.4107.4
Auto13.4
Teleop51.0
End43.8
red by 29.2
4635
#20
79.01.2
78.379.5
Auto9.6
Teleop29.9
End39.5
Second
16
#4
105.91.0
104.1105.1
Auto11.3
Teleop45.0
End49.6
red by 30.4
75.51.2
74.876.0
Auto6.1
Teleop29.0
End40.4
Third
3991
#24
72.01.1
70.171.2
Auto7.2
Teleop24.8
End40.0
red by 0.9
2333
#33
71.11.3
70.471.7
Auto10.2
Teleop33.3
End27.7