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Quarterfinal 4-22017 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red280
233371.1
452275.5
463579.0
Blue220
177576.2
350766.1
500672.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232225150200250300350280220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#20
79.01.1
76.8→77.9
Auto9.6
Teleop29.9
End39.5
red by 2.8
1775
#21
76.20.2
76.0→76.2
Auto6.9
Teleop31.8
End37.5
Second
4522
#3
75.51.1
73.3→74.4
Auto6.1
Teleop29.0
End40.4
red by 2.7
5006
#18
72.80.2
72.7→72.8
Auto10.6
Teleop29.2
End33.1
Third
2333
#33
71.11.2
68.8→69.9
Auto10.2
Teleop33.3
End27.7
red by 5.1
3507
#8
66.10.2
65.9→66.1
Auto5.8
Teleop26.3
End34.0