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Quarterfinal 4-12017 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red190
233371.1
452275.5
463579.0
Blue155
177576.2
350766.1
500672.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234232160180200220260280300190155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#20
79.00.9
77.8→76.8
Auto9.6
Teleop29.9
End39.5
red by 2.8
1775
#21
76.22.1
78.1→76.0
Auto6.9
Teleop31.8
End37.5
Second
4522
#3
75.50.9
74.3→73.3
Auto6.1
Teleop29.0
End40.4
red by 2.7
5006
#18
72.81.9
74.6→72.7
Auto10.6
Teleop29.2
End33.1
Third
2333
#33
71.11.0
69.8→68.8
Auto10.2
Teleop33.3
End27.7
red by 5.1
3507
#8
66.12.1
68.0→65.9
Auto5.8
Teleop26.3
End34.0