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Red205
664047.0
299294.3
393796.9
Blue306
14178.9
452377.7
605560.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26121550100150300350400450205306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.91.1
98.096.9
Auto10.3
Teleop53.1
End33.4
red by 18.0
141
#10
78.92.1
77.179.2
Auto10.2
Teleop35.0
End33.6
Second
94.31.1
95.494.3
Auto14.3
Teleop39.7
End40.3
red by 16.6
77.73.1
75.278.2
Auto10.1
Teleop34.6
End33.0
Third
6640
#37
47.01.1
48.047.0
Auto5.3
Teleop33.2
End8.5
blue by 13.5
6055
#23
60.43.1
57.961.0
Auto11.0
Teleop30.1
End19.4