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Red224
652345.6
4613112.0
1772104.2
Blue217
313296.2
606189.8
619140.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283222100200400500224217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.00.8
111.0110.3
Auto23.7
Teleop49.7
End38.6
red by 15.8
3132
#11
96.20.0
93.893.8
Auto16.3
Teleop42.1
End37.7
Second
104.20.8
103.2102.5
Auto8.1
Teleop52.4
End43.7
red by 14.4
89.80.0
87.487.4
Auto12.3
Teleop29.5
End48.0
Third
6523
#22
45.60.8
44.743.9
Auto9.7
Teleop30.3
End5.5
red by 5.5
6191
#26
40.00.0
37.737.7
Auto6.6
Teleop31.3
End2.1