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Red383
652345.6
4613112.0
1772104.2
Blue326
313296.2
606189.8
619140.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281222100200400383326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.01.7
110.3112.0
Auto23.7
Teleop49.7
End38.6
red by 15.8
3132
#11
96.22.4
93.896.2
Auto16.3
Teleop42.1
End37.7
Second
104.21.7
102.5104.2
Auto8.1
Teleop52.4
End43.7
red by 14.4
89.82.4
87.489.8
Auto12.3
Teleop29.5
End48.0
Third
6523
#22
45.61.7
43.945.6
Auto9.7
Teleop30.3
End5.5
red by 5.5
6191
#26
40.02.4
37.740.0
Auto6.6
Teleop31.3
End2.1