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Red260
620455.1
481766.4
453788.6
Blue280
533181.0
425396.0
608336.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions219213100150200250300350260280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.61.1
87.588.6
Auto4.1
Teleop39.3
End45.2
blue by 7.4
96.01.0
92.593.6
Auto9.6
Teleop42.8
End43.6
Second
66.41.1
65.366.4
Auto9.7
Teleop38.1
End18.6
blue by 14.5
81.01.0
77.478.5
Auto7.9
Teleop42.1
End30.9
Third
6204
#16
55.11.2
53.955.1
Auto7.7
Teleop27.1
End20.3
red by 18.3
6083
#24
36.81.2
32.934.1
Auto4.5
Teleop34.5
End-2.2