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Red329
619140.0
606189.8
313296.2
Blue280
657993.4
598596.6
652539.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2202410100300400500329280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#11
96.22.6
91.393.9
Auto16.3
Teleop42.1
End37.7
blue by 0.4
96.60.7
95.396.0
Auto15.7
Teleop35.8
End45.1
Second
89.82.6
84.987.5
Auto12.3
Teleop29.5
End48.0
blue by 3.6
93.40.7
92.192.8
Auto11.1
Teleop44.7
End37.6
Third
6191
#26
40.02.6
35.137.8
Auto6.6
Teleop31.3
End2.1
red by 0.8
6525
#17
39.30.7
38.038.7
Auto6.5
Teleop32.2
End0.6