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Red170
620455.1
481766.4
453788.6
Blue235
533181.0
425396.0
608336.8
58%Model gave it42%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225209100150250300350400170235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.61.5
89.087.5
Auto4.1
Teleop39.3
End45.2
blue by 7.4
96.00.8
91.892.5
Auto9.6
Teleop42.8
End43.6
Second
66.41.5
66.865.3
Auto9.7
Teleop38.1
End18.6
blue by 14.5
81.00.8
76.777.4
Auto7.9
Teleop42.1
End30.9
Third
6204
#16
55.11.6
55.653.9
Auto7.7
Teleop27.1
End20.3
red by 18.3
6083
#24
36.80.9
32.132.9
Auto4.5
Teleop34.5
End-2.2