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Red400
652345.6
4613112.0
1772104.2
Blue235
533181.0
425396.0
608336.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27621550100150250300350400400235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.02.3
108.7111.0
Auto23.7
Teleop49.7
End38.6
red by 15.9
96.00.5
95.596.0
Auto9.6
Teleop42.8
End43.6
Second
104.22.3
101.0103.2
Auto8.1
Teleop52.4
End43.7
red by 23.2
81.00.5
80.481.0
Auto7.9
Teleop42.1
End30.9
Third
6523
#22
45.62.3
42.444.7
Auto9.7
Teleop30.3
End5.5
red by 8.8
6083
#24
36.80.6
36.336.8
Auto4.5
Teleop34.5
End-2.2