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Red260
619140.0
606189.8
313296.2
Blue160
558452.5
473949.6
598347.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221146050100200250300350260160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#11
96.21.4
87.288.6
Auto16.3
Teleop42.1
End37.7
red by 43.7
5584
#13
52.50.3
52.452.7
Auto5.2
Teleop30.1
End17.1
Second
89.81.4
80.882.2
Auto12.3
Teleop29.5
End48.0
red by 40.2
4739
#12
49.60.2
49.649.8
Auto5.6
Teleop25.6
End18.4
Third
6191
#26
40.01.4
31.132.5
Auto6.6
Teleop31.3
End2.1
blue by 7.0
5983
#19
47.00.2
47.047.2
Auto6.3
Teleop28.9
End11.8