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Red324
619140.0
606189.8
313296.2
Blue140
558452.5
473949.6
598347.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226146050100200250300350400324140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#11
96.22.7
88.691.3
Auto16.3
Teleop42.1
End37.7
red by 43.7
5584
#13
52.50.2
52.752.5
Auto5.2
Teleop30.1
End17.1
Second
89.82.7
82.284.9
Auto12.3
Teleop29.5
End48.0
red by 40.2
4739
#12
49.60.2
49.849.6
Auto5.6
Teleop25.6
End18.4
Third
6191
#26
40.02.7
32.535.1
Auto6.6
Teleop31.3
End2.1
blue by 7.0
5983
#19
47.00.2
47.247.0
Auto6.3
Teleop28.9
End11.8