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Red255
652539.3
598596.6
657993.4
Blue206
508763.2
477461.9
603528.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2491380100200300400255206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.60.8
93.994.6
Auto15.7
Teleop35.8
End45.1
red by 33.5
5087
#14
63.21.3
60.762.0
Auto-1.0
Teleop25.3
End38.9
Second
93.40.8
90.691.4
Auto11.1
Teleop44.7
End37.6
red by 31.4
4774
#10
61.91.3
59.560.8
Auto10.6
Teleop36.1
End15.3
Third
6525
#17
39.30.8
36.537.3
Auto6.5
Teleop32.2
End0.6
red by 11.2
6035
#28
28.11.3
25.627.0
Auto4.9
Teleop20.7
End2.6