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Red255
598847.4
6579106.1
508777.5
Blue310
598597.0
650893.8
605073.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235278100200300400500255310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
106.10.6
105.5106.1
Auto12.7
Teleop50.3
End43.0
red by 9.1
5985
#14
97.01.0
95.096.1
Auto14.9
Teleop34.8
End47.4
Second
5087
#20
77.50.6
77.077.5
Auto3.3
Teleop32.6
End41.7
blue by 16.2
93.81.3
91.392.6
Auto8.2
Teleop36.7
End48.8
Third
5988
#17
47.40.6
46.847.4
Auto11.8
Teleop24.6
End10.9
blue by 26.4
6050
#21
73.81.2
71.672.7
Auto10.3
Teleop38.6
End25.0