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Red160
651074.1
477460.7
566375.9
Blue305
1772103.1
4253109.2
643456.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220293100400500160305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5663
#13
75.91.6
78.877.2
Auto8.3
Teleop34.3
End33.2
blue by 33.3
109.20.8
108.9109.8
Auto11.1
Teleop45.0
End53.1
Second
6510
#19
74.11.4
76.775.3
Auto9.7
Teleop31.3
End33.1
blue by 29.0
103.10.8
102.8103.6
Auto12.6
Teleop50.3
End40.2
Third
4774
#10
60.71.3
63.161.8
Auto10.3
Teleop33.1
End17.3
red by 4.7
6434
#25
56.00.9
55.756.6
Auto5.9
Teleop28.7
End21.4