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Red290
414665.8
99192.1
394496.6
Blue408
84299.7
237596.8
1492103.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2603210200400600800290408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.60.3
95.195.4
Auto7.6
Teleop41.2
End47.8
blue by 7.2
1492
#13
103.90.3
102.4102.7
Auto11.0
Teleop43.4
End49.4
Second
991
#4
92.10.3
90.590.9
Auto9.7
Teleop49.3
End33.1
blue by 7.6
842
#8
99.70.3
98.298.5
Auto9.4
Teleop46.5
End43.9
Third
4146
#18
65.80.3
64.264.5
Auto10.4
Teleop36.2
End19.2
blue by 31.0
96.80.3
95.395.6
Auto8.1
Teleop45.5
End43.2