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Red255
248696.2
1726105.8
1011103.9
Blue473
84299.7
237596.8
1492103.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3493020100200400500600700255473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.81.2
107.0105.8
Auto14.8
Teleop44.0
End47.0
red by 1.9
1492
#13
103.91.2
101.1102.4
Auto11.0
Teleop43.4
End49.4
Second
103.91.2
105.1103.9
Auto10.1
Teleop54.4
End39.5
red by 4.2
842
#8
99.71.2
97.098.2
Auto9.4
Teleop46.5
End43.9
Third
2486
#23
96.21.2
97.496.2
Auto14.3
Teleop45.2
End36.7
blue by 0.6
96.81.2
94.195.3
Auto8.1
Teleop45.5
End43.2