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Red330
413550.6
19293.4
11597.6
Blue275
357753.5
456594.6
99169.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229226150200250300330275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#16
97.62.2
89.291.4
Auto8.7
Teleop39.0
End49.9
red by 3.0
94.60.9
93.894.6
Auto12.5
Teleop39.8
End42.3
Second
192
#1
93.42.0
85.887.8
Auto9.1
Teleop35.8
End48.5
red by 23.9
991
#19
69.50.9
68.769.5
Auto7.7
Teleop35.7
End26.1
Third
4135
#47
50.62.2
42.244.4
Auto6.6
Teleop24.5
End19.5
blue by 2.9
3577
#25
53.50.9
52.753.6
Auto5.9
Teleop26.4
End21.2