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Red310
413550.6
19293.4
11597.6
Blue221
84282.4
99679.3
301966.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241238200250300310221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#16
97.62.1
92.294.3
Auto8.7
Teleop39.0
End49.9
red by 15.2
842
#11
82.40.2
82.282.1
Auto14.8
Teleop34.8
End32.8
Second
192
#1
93.41.9
88.590.4
Auto9.1
Teleop35.8
End48.5
red by 14.1
996
#5
79.30.2
79.479.3
Auto10.5
Teleop36.2
End32.6
Third
4135
#47
50.62.1
45.247.3
Auto6.6
Teleop24.5
End19.5
blue by 15.8
3019
#12
66.40.2
66.266.0
Auto8.8
Teleop24.6
End33.1