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Red307
413550.6
19293.4
11597.6
Blue246
84282.4
651858.4
301966.4
67%Model gave it33%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25021250100150300350400450307246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#16
97.60.6
94.394.9
Auto8.7
Teleop39.0
End49.9
red by 15.2
842
#11
82.40.4
82.182.4
Auto14.8
Teleop34.8
End32.8
Second
192
#1
93.40.6
90.491.0
Auto9.1
Teleop35.8
End48.5
red by 27.0
3019
#12
66.40.4
66.066.4
Auto8.8
Teleop24.6
End33.1
Third
4135
#47
50.60.6
47.347.9
Auto6.6
Teleop24.5
End19.5
blue by 7.8
6518
#13
58.40.4
58.058.4
Auto7.4
Teleop27.3
End23.7