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Red291
301966.4
99679.3
84282.4
Blue275
248693.4
49883.0
247857.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236249100200300400500291275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#11
82.41.0
81.682.6
Auto14.8
Teleop34.8
End32.8
blue by 11.0
2486
#17
93.40.6
93.694.2
Auto15.6
Teleop34.6
End43.2
Second
996
#5
79.31.0
78.879.8
Auto10.5
Teleop36.2
End32.6
blue by 3.8
498
#6
83.00.6
83.283.8
Auto11.2
Teleop38.2
End33.6
Third
3019
#12
66.41.0
65.566.5
Auto8.8
Teleop24.6
End33.1
red by 8.7
2478
#31
57.70.6
57.958.5
Auto5.0
Teleop25.8
End26.9