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Semifinal 2-12017 Arizona North Regional
Red315
414670.1
653095.0
6085.2
Blue255
101180.3
631480.4
116067.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258234100150200300350400450315255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6530
#2
95.01.6
92.0→93.6
Auto8.5
Teleop37.6
End49.0
red by 14.7
6314
#4
80.40.7
79.2→79.9
Auto5.2
Teleop33.3
End41.9
Second
60
#3
85.21.6
82.2→83.7
Auto12.5
Teleop36.4
End36.2
red by 4.9
1011
#15
80.30.7
79.1→79.9
Auto9.1
Teleop47.4
End23.8
Third
4146
#14
70.11.6
67.1→68.6
Auto9.0
Teleop29.7
End31.5
red by 2.2
1160
#27
67.90.7
66.7→67.5
Auto5.6
Teleop24.3
End38.0