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Red310
301975.0
6314102.5
247892.6
Blue256
1726100.5
266262.9
69887.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287260100150200350400450500310256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.50.8
102.0102.8
Auto7.3
Teleop43.8
End51.4
red by 2.0
1726
#18
100.50.1
100.2100.4
Auto13.1
Teleop45.2
End42.1
Second
92.60.8
92.192.9
Auto11.9
Teleop44.8
End35.9
red by 5.3
698
#12
87.30.2
87.087.2
Auto9.6
Teleop40.1
End37.6
Third
3019
#20
75.00.8
74.575.3
Auto9.4
Teleop30.1
End35.5
red by 12.2
62.90.2
62.662.7
Auto5.6
Teleop35.2
End22.1