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Red255
647970.8
498102.7
69693.2
Blue235
641384.6
318766.5
116575.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2962290100200400500255235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#6
102.70.4
104.1103.7
Auto14.4
Teleop41.8
End46.6
red by 18.1
6413
#22
84.60.2
84.484.6
Auto11.2
Teleop38.3
End35.1
Second
696
#33
93.20.4
94.694.2
Auto15.3
Teleop47.3
End30.6
red by 17.9
1165
#23
75.30.2
75.175.3
Auto9.2
Teleop39.7
End26.4
Third
6479
#31
70.80.4
72.472.0
Auto5.7
Teleop31.3
End33.8
red by 4.3
66.50.2
66.366.5
Auto7.7
Teleop40.0
End18.9