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Red280
301975.0
6314102.5
247892.6
Blue256
1726100.5
266262.9
69887.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290260100200400500280256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.50.4
102.8102.4
Auto7.3
Teleop43.8
End51.4
red by 2.0
1726
#18
100.50.1
100.4100.5
Auto13.1
Teleop45.2
End42.1
Second
92.60.4
92.992.6
Auto11.9
Teleop44.8
End35.9
red by 5.3
698
#12
87.30.1
87.287.3
Auto9.6
Teleop40.1
End37.6
Third
3019
#20
75.00.4
75.375.0
Auto9.4
Teleop30.1
End35.5
red by 12.2
62.90.1
62.762.9
Auto5.6
Teleop35.2
End22.1