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Qual 102017 BattleCry 18
Red200
13185.2
417671.2
355538.6
Blue216
110064.1
412288.3
998857.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions240241180200220260280300320200216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#56
85.22.4
106.8→104.4
Auto12.2
Teleop45.0
End28.0
blue by 3.1
4122
#45
88.30.7
105.5→104.8
Auto10.8
Teleop35.5
End42.0
Second
4176
#50
71.22.4
85.1→82.8
Auto8.4
Teleop43.0
End19.9
red by 7.1
1100
#47
64.10.7
80.4→79.7
Auto7.9
Teleop32.8
End23.4
Third
3555
#58
38.62.4
38.9→36.5
Auto4.5
Teleop17.5
End16.6
blue by 19.0
9988
#9
57.518.7
57.5→38.8
Auto9.7
Teleop28.9
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
17%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed