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Red256
1073102.3
999103.8
415170.2
Blue311
17588.3
19091.0
13850.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296282100150200250350400256311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#36
103.81.6
103.0101.4
Auto13.1
Teleop53.9
End36.8
red by 12.8
190
#22
91.02.4
96.799.1
Auto11.3
Teleop43.3
End36.4
Second
1073
#41
102.31.6
97.996.4
Auto11.7
Teleop44.0
End46.6
red by 14.0
175
#15
88.32.4
96.298.6
Auto7.8
Teleop42.3
End38.3
Third
4151
#55
70.21.6
78.777.1
Auto10.5
Teleop34.6
End25.1
red by 20.1
138
#59
50.02.4
76.578.9
Auto3.8
Teleop27.2
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
28%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed