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Qual 452017 BattleCry 18
Red166
50182.8
88572.7
415170.2
Blue275
676395.3
12665.0
555670.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2572300100200300400166275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
501
#33
82.85.0
85.0→80.0
Auto7.9
Teleop43.6
End31.4
blue by 12.4
6763
#53
95.32.9
100.9→103.8
Auto11.1
Teleop43.6
End40.6
Second
885
#44
72.75.0
83.2→78.3
Auto8.1
Teleop35.0
End29.6
red by 1.8
5556
#37
70.82.9
60.4→63.3
Auto6.9
Teleop31.5
End32.5
Third
4151
#55
70.25.0
72.5→67.5
Auto10.5
Teleop34.6
End25.1
red by 5.1
126
#31
65.02.9
60.7→63.6
Auto6.2
Teleop38.8
End20.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed22%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed