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Red190
46764.5
173564.7
17394.2
Blue162
498761.5
13185.2
105899.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2302930100200400500190162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#23
94.22.5
93.390.9
Auto7.5
Teleop40.0
End46.6
blue by 5.2
1058
#10
99.37.5
112.3104.7
Auto13.0
Teleop57.7
End28.6
Second
1735
#25
64.72.5
70.968.4
Auto7.7
Teleop31.5
End25.5
blue by 20.5
131
#56
85.27.5
100.793.1
Auto12.2
Teleop45.0
End28.0
Third
467
#17
64.52.5
62.760.3
Auto5.4
Teleop28.8
End30.4
red by 3.0
4987
#57
61.57.5
57.149.6
Auto7.5
Teleop40.3
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed33%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed