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Red235
490992.7
105899.3
133101.9
Blue265
5813100.2
207968.4
31995.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3202570100200400500600700800235265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#29
101.94.1
94.590.5
Auto12.4
Teleop47.6
End41.8
red by 1.7
5813
#21
100.20.2
100.199.9
Auto11.9
Teleop51.8
End36.5
Second
1058
#10
99.34.1
104.7100.7
Auto13.0
Teleop57.7
End28.6
red by 3.8
319
#3
95.60.2
84.484.2
Auto8.7
Teleop45.9
End41.0
Third
4909
#20
92.74.1
96.892.7
Auto8.9
Teleop40.4
End43.4
red by 24.3
2079
#30
68.40.2
68.668.4
Auto3.8
Teleop29.3
End35.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
14%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
5%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed