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Red207
999103.8
998857.5
15767.6
Blue320
2168121.0
8879.7
17394.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423070100200400500600207320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#36
103.82.1
105.9103.8
Auto13.1
Teleop53.9
End36.8
blue by 17.2
121.01.4
121.9123.3
Auto15.5
Teleop54.0
End51.5
Second
157
#35
67.62.1
72.069.9
Auto8.9
Teleop29.9
End28.8
blue by 26.6
173
#23
94.21.4
87.989.4
Auto7.5
Teleop40.0
End46.6
Third
57.53.3
60.857.5
Auto9.7
Teleop28.9
End18.9
blue by 22.2
88
#28
79.71.4
73.575.0
Auto7.6
Teleop37.0
End35.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed18%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed