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Red305
580299.5
607287.4
69677.3
Blue208
450176.5
263791.4
330117.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27731302004006008001,0001,2001,4001,600305208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#16
99.52.5
109.9112.4
Auto11.1
Teleop47.5
End40.9
blue by 17.5
330
#5
117.06.0
113.2107.2
Auto26.4
Teleop60.4
End30.2
Second
6072
#17
87.42.7
76.479.1
Auto9.5
Teleop36.9
End41.0
blue by 4.0
2637
#10
91.46.0
89.283.3
Auto12.5
Teleop50.1
End28.8
Third
696
#23
77.32.5
81.784.2
Auto12.7
Teleop47.0
End17.6
red by 0.8
4501
#28
76.56.0
90.284.2
Auto1.5
Teleop40.8
End34.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed10%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed24%Pressure oddsMissed