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Red205
407978.7
3647110.4
1661104.6
Blue268
98048.0
432293.4
3309113.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3132590100200400500600700205268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
110.45.7
99.794.0
Auto11.7
Teleop57.1
End41.6
blue by 3.5
113.91.0
114.3115.3
Auto29.9
Teleop48.2
End35.7
Second
1661
#18
104.65.7
117.4111.7
Auto13.5
Teleop42.6
End48.5
red by 11.2
4322
#13
93.41.0
90.591.5
Auto10.8
Teleop42.1
End40.6
Third
4079
#20
78.76.3
73.367.0
Auto7.2
Teleop36.6
End35.0
red by 30.7
980
#35
48.01.0
48.149.1
Auto4.3
Teleop36.1
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
8%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed18%Pressure oddsMissed