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Red279
2122B97.8
167172.8
2122114.0
Blue205
510476.5
5458111.9
570081.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3242790100200400500600700279205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.00.2
109.7109.4
Auto34.6
Teleop49.0
End30.5
red by 2.2
5458
#12
111.91.4
111.5110.1
Auto8.2
Teleop47.2
End56.5
Second
97.80.3
92.091.6
Auto17.4
Teleop36.8
End43.7
red by 16.4
5700
#10
81.41.4
81.079.6
Auto12.0
Teleop41.7
End27.8
Third
1671
#29
72.80.2
68.468.2
Auto7.0
Teleop39.7
End26.1
blue by 3.7
5104
#13
76.51.4
76.174.7
Auto10.5
Teleop36.0
End30.0