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Red518
2122B97.8
167172.8
2122114.0
Blue475
510476.5
5458111.9
570081.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3242740100200400500600700518475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.02.8
109.4112.2
Auto34.6
Teleop49.0
End30.5
red by 2.2
5458
#12
111.91.8
110.1111.9
Auto8.2
Teleop47.2
End56.5
Second
97.83.7
91.695.3
Auto17.4
Teleop36.8
End43.7
red by 16.4
5700
#10
81.41.8
79.681.4
Auto12.0
Teleop41.7
End27.8
Third
1671
#29
72.82.8
68.270.9
Auto7.0
Teleop39.7
End26.1
blue by 3.7
5104
#13
76.51.8
74.776.5
Auto10.5
Teleop36.0
End30.0