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Red184
318971.7
2122B97.8
666232.6
Blue245
1425104.1
3256110.3
973100.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18341406008001,000184245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.835.5
97.862.3
Auto17.4
Teleop36.8
End43.7
blue by 12.5
110.37.9
105.297.2
Auto13.0
Teleop44.9
End52.4
Second
3189
#38
71.71.3
61.360.0
Auto7.8
Teleop34.4
End29.4
blue by 32.4
104.17.9
114.2106.3
Auto11.9
Teleop51.3
End40.9
Third
6662
#40
32.61.7
77.675.9
Auto0.9
Teleop21.5
End10.2
blue by 67.7
973
#30
100.27.9
144.8136.8
Auto18.7
Teleop48.5
End33.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed31%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
10%Pressure oddsMissed72%Pressure oddsMissed