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Red110
11485.4
8B63.9
425549.6
Blue140
1671B66.0
325063.5
469861.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2261820100300400500600110140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#26
85.46.6
87.180.5
Auto9.3
Teleop34.1
End42.0
red by 19.4
66.044.5
86.742.2
Auto5.3
Teleop31.7
End29.0
Second
8B
#8
63.923.7
63.940.2
Auto7.7
Teleop37.3
End18.9
red by 0.5
3250
#15
63.52.6
67.765.2
Auto6.7
Teleop36.7
End20.1
Third
4255
#43
49.66.6
70.964.3
Auto6.7
Teleop28.8
End14.1
blue by 11.7
4698
#39
61.33.4
64.260.8
Auto8.2
Teleop25.5
End27.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed